莆田市旅游业的发展与区域经济增长关系的实证研究

基于1996-2013年莆田市旅游业收入与地区GDP的相关数据,研究莆田市旅游业的发展与区域经济增长的关系.考虑到这些数据是时间序列数据,首先对这些序列进行平稳性分析,然后应用协整理论和Granger因果检验进行实证研究,并且建立了误差修正模型.结果表明,莆田市旅游业的发展与区域经济增长存在着长期稳定的关系和单向的Granger因果原因,即区域经济带动旅游业的发展影响较小,而旅游业的发展促进区域经济发展的影响较明显.     

基于计量经济模型的煤炭消费与经济增长关系实证研究——以世界主要煤炭消费国为例

经济的发展和能源(包括煤炭)的利用有着密不可分的关系.运用国际上研究能源消费与经济增长之间关系的重要工具-协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验对世界主要煤炭消费国家(中国、美国、印度、俄罗斯、日本和南非)1981-2005的煤炭消费与GDP之间因果关系及其内在规律进行了分析和研究.实证研究结果表明,这些国家能源消费结构、经济政策不同,煤炭消费同经济增长之间的因果关系也不完全一致,中国、日本和南非存在经济增长对煤炭消费的因果关系,俄罗斯存在煤炭消费对经济增长的因果关系,而印度煤炭消费和经济增长之间则不存在因果关系.据此各国根据自身能源国情及国际比较形势,制定科学的能源战略与政策.     

房地产行业的数学建模分析

分别建立了需求模型,供给模型,房地产与其他产业的关系模型,房价模型及房地产发展趋势的预测模型,并对影响模型的相应因素做了简要的分析.     

中国房地产投资与国民经济关系结构变点研究

本文首先描述了房地产投资与GDP间关系在以2001、2008年为分界点的三个时期上的不同特征;其次用变结构协整模型侦测协整关系的结构变点;再次利用分段协整检验、邹氏断点检验和格兰杰因果检验对变点做进一步验证。结论如下:房地产投资与国民经济发展总体上存在长期协整关系,两者关系的发展呈现三段式:2001年之前两者尚未形成长期均衡关系,协整关系不显著,1998年到2001年是形成期;2001年之后两者形成了长期均衡关系,表现为协整关系比较显著;2008年之后协整关系脱离原均衡水平,向高位发展。加强对房地产行业的监督与调控,促使其与国民经济保持长期均衡,对经济社会持续、健康、协调发展意义重大。     

基于SD的城镇就业人数影响因子模型及其仿真

运用协整与Granger因果分析理论确定了国内生产总值、固定资产投资、国家财政收入、全社会消费品总额和第三产业产值为城镇就业人数的影响因子,运用系统动力学的理论与方法构建了城镇就业人数的系统动力学模型,在不同的投资和消费力度下对城镇就业人数进行了模拟。结果表明,消费相对投资而言更能提高就业水平,进而提出相应的对策及建议。     

Learning in Convolutional Neural Networks Accelerated by Transfer Entropy

Recently, there is a growing interest in applying Transfer Entropy (TE) in quantifying the effective connectivity between artificial neurons. In a feedforward network, the TE can be used to quantify the relationships between neuron output pairs located in different layers. Our focus is on how to include the TE in the learning mechanisms of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture. We introduce a novel training mechanism for CNN architectures which integrates the TE feedback connections. Adding the TE feedback parameter accelerates the training process, as fewer epochs are needed. On the flip side, it adds computational overhead to each epoch. According to our experiments on CNN classifiers, to achieve a reasonable computational overhead–accuracy trade-off, it is efficient to consider only the inter-neural information transfer of the neuron pairs between the last two fully connected layers. The TE acts as a smoothing factor, generating stability and becoming active only periodically, not after processing each input sample. Therefore, we can consider the TE is in our model a slowly changing meta-parameter.     

Topological causality analysis of horizontal gas-liquid flows based on cross map of phase spaces

Nonlinear systems are always characterized by the interactions between constituents which yield data in the form of time series. Exploration of the causality between the times series is beneficial for understanding the dynamics of the system. We introduce a topological causality method to explore the dynamics of horizontal gas-liquid flows. First, the principle of the topological causality algorithm is illustrated and validated using the Lorenz system and transfer entropy. Then, we conducted an experiment of gas-liquid flows in a horizontal pipe, during which a wire-mesh sensor (WMS) was used to capture the flow structures. The WMS data at different time frames are embedded in high-dimension phase spaces. Through building a cross map between coupled phase spaces, a cross map smoothness was employed to derive the topological causality index. The causality index enables us to understand the mechanism of the flow pattern transition and the intrinsic dynamics of the transient gas-liquid flows.     

Radiation Reaction of a Nonrelativistic Quantum Charged Particle

An alternative approach to analyze the nonrelativistic quantum dynamics of a rigid and extended charged particle taking into account the radiation reaction is discussed with detail. Interpretation of the field operators as annihilation and creation ones, theory of perturbations and renormalization are not used. The analysis is carried out in the Heisenberg picture with the electromagnetic field expanded in a complete orthogonal basis set of functions which allows the electromagnetic field to satisfy arbitrary boundary conditions. The corresponding coefficients are the field operators which satisfy the usual commutation relations. A nonlinear equation of motion for the charged particle is obtained. A careful consideration of the quantum effects allows the derivation of a linear equation of motion which is free of both runaway solutions and preacceleration, even for a point charge. Also, the electromagnetic mass, which is defined as the coefficient of the acceleration operator, vanishes for a point particle. However, this does not mean that the results are free of ambiguities which are exhibited and discussed.     

The Gravitational Field of an Electrically Charged Mass Point and the Causality Principle in the RTG

We find the effective Riemannian space–time corresponding to the gravitational field generated by a charged mass point in the framework of the relativistic theory of gravity. The causality principle plays an important role in solving this problem. The analytic form and the domain of definition, i.e., the gravitational radius, of the obtained solution differ from the corresponding results in Einstein's general relativity theory.